Friday, March 21, 2014
Monday, March 17, 2014
Wednesday, March 12, 2014
پښتانۀ ولې يو مرکزي سياسي جوړښت نۀ لري؟
Daren Acemolgue & James A Robinsor په خپل کتاب قامونه ولې ناکامه کېږي او د طاقت، ترقئ اور غربت سر چينې څۀ څۀ دي
ډير په زړۀ پورې کتاب دې چې پکښې د نړۍ د هر دور او خواؤشا د هر قام تاريخ شته. دوي وائې چې د قامونو د ناکامۍ دا وجې نۀ دي چې دوي په ّمخصوص جغرافيه کښې ژوند تېروي يا مخصوص کلتور لري او يا دوي جاهله او نا خبره دي. بلکه د قامونو ادارې د هغوي د خوشالو او بدحالو وجې وي. زۀ کوشش کوم چې د دوې د نظرياتو په رڼا کښې د پښتنو د ژوند او تاريخ څېړنه وکړم.
پښتانه يو قبائلي ژوند تيرو او پښتنو قبيلو په خپل ميئنځ کښې ډير جګړې کړې دي. د پښتنو د دننني ناچاقۍ د لاسه پښتنو يو مرکزي حکومت جوړ نۀ کړې شو کوم چې د سياسي او اقتصادي ادارو د پاره ضروري وي. د پښتنو قبائلي سماج ډير محدودو اقتصادي سرګرو کښې معشول پاتې شوې دي د کومو لو کبله چې د پښتنو په کلتوري جوړښت کښې څۀ دومره لوئې بدلون رانغې.
د پښتنو د ژوند او د صوماليې تر مينځه کۀ موازنه وکړې شي نو څۀ دومره بده بۀ نۀ وي. کتاب خو د پښتنو په حقله څۀ نۀ وائې خو ولې په صوماليه کښې د مرکزې حکومت د ناکامۍ وجې هغې قبيلې ګرزوي څوک چې يو بل سر پورته کولو ته نۀ پرېږدي ولې چې د سياسي طاقت د پاره ضروي ده چې يو ګروپ د نورو ګروپونو د پاسه شي.
ټول په ټوله بهرنې يرغلونو پښتانه چېرې هم خارجيانو سره ارتباط ته پرينښودله. او د پښتنو ټولنه د ځان ځانۍ ښکار شوی دي. زما په خيال پښتون کلتور، جغرافيې او د پښتنو ناپوهۍ ته ګناه اچول به يو ښۀ کار نۀ وي بلکه په دے سوچ پکار دے چې مونږ ولې يو مرکزي سياسي جوړښت او اقتصادي ادارو په جوړولو کښې ناکامه شوې يو.
په کومو ځايونو کښې چې پښتنو مرکزي حکومتونه جوړ کړې وو لکه کابل يا سوات، نو هلته سماجي او کلتوري بدلونونه راغلې دي ځکه چې هلته نوي اقتصادي ادارے جوړې شوې دي.
Sunday, March 9, 2014
???
I don’t think the issue of fighting militancy is so simple. Not at all!
Let me try to explain it.
9/11 happened at a time when Pakistan was ruled by an egocentric military dictator. Military men are no different from other Pakistanis and they found an opportunity to grab money and support from the US. The military did not bother to check their own strategic assets or ever tried to change the policies of their predecessors. Rather, they were under their own historical fallacies that the infidel US would be deeply entrenched in the quagmire of Afghanistan and will finally face a defeat. So they were complacent and the militants were engaged in unchecked activities. I call it a militants’ paradise!
During the 2005 earthquake Musharaf used to appreciate the militants that they had adopted a right approach and that militancy is not something useful as if a father is happy that his rogue son is not taking drugs and attends five times prayers a day. Too much complacency I suppose!
The Lal Mosque episode was badly handled. It was badly handled because a thoughtful government might have diluted extremism over a period of time without having to provoke any animosity. The blunder was committed under the false impression that a chunk of militants cannot challenge the mighty power of the state!
The liberal intelligentsia who had an insight to the problem were themselves part of corrupt and opportunist political setup and the PPP could not calculate the murder of Benazir and the subsequent outcomes of the militants’ influence due to their tainted vision. This is indeed so sad!
An ordinary Pakistani is not educated enough to provide rational explanation for some simple phenomena like why does water flow downhill or why water vapors go up into the air. Even university professors and scientists believe that the 9/11 had not happened and the miseries in Pakistan are all inflicted by the Jews, Hindus and Christians. A police official cannot rationally interpret that the worst law and order situation is due to the corruption he is engaged in. A school teacher supposes that India does not want stability of Pakistan because it is interfering in Baluchistan. How can one argue with the teacher that by not going to the classroom and not teaching our children is the cause of our instability!
Until now and perhaps in the coming few years our leading media men and politicians will remain under the impression that the Taliban do not exist and that bomb explosions and target killing are conspiracies of the West. Parties like PML N, PTI and JI share this lunacy with the leading media men. Superb!
Nobody knows exactly who the militants in Pakistan are and who is not. Talks with whom? Operation against whom!
Let me try to explain it.
9/11 happened at a time when Pakistan was ruled by an egocentric military dictator. Military men are no different from other Pakistanis and they found an opportunity to grab money and support from the US. The military did not bother to check their own strategic assets or ever tried to change the policies of their predecessors. Rather, they were under their own historical fallacies that the infidel US would be deeply entrenched in the quagmire of Afghanistan and will finally face a defeat. So they were complacent and the militants were engaged in unchecked activities. I call it a militants’ paradise!
During the 2005 earthquake Musharaf used to appreciate the militants that they had adopted a right approach and that militancy is not something useful as if a father is happy that his rogue son is not taking drugs and attends five times prayers a day. Too much complacency I suppose!
The Lal Mosque episode was badly handled. It was badly handled because a thoughtful government might have diluted extremism over a period of time without having to provoke any animosity. The blunder was committed under the false impression that a chunk of militants cannot challenge the mighty power of the state!
The liberal intelligentsia who had an insight to the problem were themselves part of corrupt and opportunist political setup and the PPP could not calculate the murder of Benazir and the subsequent outcomes of the militants’ influence due to their tainted vision. This is indeed so sad!
An ordinary Pakistani is not educated enough to provide rational explanation for some simple phenomena like why does water flow downhill or why water vapors go up into the air. Even university professors and scientists believe that the 9/11 had not happened and the miseries in Pakistan are all inflicted by the Jews, Hindus and Christians. A police official cannot rationally interpret that the worst law and order situation is due to the corruption he is engaged in. A school teacher supposes that India does not want stability of Pakistan because it is interfering in Baluchistan. How can one argue with the teacher that by not going to the classroom and not teaching our children is the cause of our instability!
Until now and perhaps in the coming few years our leading media men and politicians will remain under the impression that the Taliban do not exist and that bomb explosions and target killing are conspiracies of the West. Parties like PML N, PTI and JI share this lunacy with the leading media men. Superb!
Nobody knows exactly who the militants in Pakistan are and who is not. Talks with whom? Operation against whom!
Saturday, March 8, 2014
Friday, March 7, 2014
Current affairs: A friendly chat
Shakir: What do you
predict about the possible outcome of talks with the militants? Do you predict
any reconciliation?
Arif: There are many
possibilities. The State and militants cannot reconcile for some obvious
reasons as Taliban do not believe in democracy and constitution. A military
operation against the militants is a tough decision. Further delay may possibly
strengthen the militants and in case of militants’ dominance over the state,
the state will have no other option but to invite international support.
Shakir: Do you really think militants are a threat to
the state?
Arif: Yes, they are a
threat to the state.
Shakir: Are they a threat
to the military establishment as well?
Arif: Yes, a threat to the
state implies a threat to its establishment.
Shakir: If military operation
is launched, what will be the status of KP government?
Arif: I suppose military
operation will further exacerbate the situation especially in Punjab and Karachi
and we don't know how the militants and other anti-state forces will respond.
Before military operation the state must change its policy.
Shakir: Do you mean it is
the right time for the state to change its policy?
Arif: Yes, the state has
no other option.
Shakir: What is the way
out to curb militants in KP?
Arif: FATA and KP are
sandwiched. Only the state can find a way out. KP cannot have a policy of its
own.
Shakir: PTI and JI are
pro-Taliban. How would they curb the monster of terrorism?
Arif: They cannot. They
are pro-Taliban but Taliban are only pro-Taliban and do not wish to take side
with any party or force.
Shakir: So what are the
chances of KP government survival?
Arif: It depends. PTI will
support any move from the Federal government/ military. JI may resign or
Governor Raj may be imposed in case of military operation. Time will tell. We
cannot say it for sure
Shakir: You are right. In
this critical situation it is difficult for JI to continue.
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